Minority Report

Logan, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hocking County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 41°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°82%
US model (GFS)51°42°63%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°100%
German model (ICON)51°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)49°41°100%
The average51°41°88%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 71%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°17%
US model (GFS)44°34°65%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°100%
German model (ICON)44°35°80%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°95%
The average45°34°71%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 7%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°1%
US model (GFS)44°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°5%
German model (ICON)44°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)43°30°22%
The average44°31°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°29°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°32°0%
The average46°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.