Minority Report

Logan, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cache County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)59°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°35°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°25°0%
The average59°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 40°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 71 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°39°94%
US model (GFS)62°42°38%
European model (ECMWF)61°41°35%
German model (ICON)61°51°23%
Canadian model (GEM)59°28°24%
The average61°40°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°94%
US model (GFS)52°35°89%
European model (ECMWF)47°42°84%
German model (ICON)51°39°98%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°95%
The average49°36°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°1%
US model (GFS)50°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)52°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°0%
The average51°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.