Minority Report

Logan, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 43°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°54%
US model (GFS)53°44°82%
European model (ECMWF)54°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°46°100%
The average54°43°87%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°32°60%
US model (GFS)46°40°49%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°96%
German model (ICON)45°39°75%
Canadian model (GEM)49°39°84%
The average46°38°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°7%
US model (GFS)45°36°28%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°48%
German model (ICON)44°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°26%
The average44°35°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°6%
German model (ICON)50°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°5%
The average47°36°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.