Minority Report

London, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Laurel County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 84%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 63 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 84%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°37%
US model (GFS)53°42°84%
European model (ECMWF)54°41°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°100%
The average54°41°84%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°67%
US model (GFS)42°32°70%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°98%
German model (ICON)43°37°58%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°71%
The average42°34°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°28°5%
US model (GFS)45°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°6%
German model (ICON)44°32°28%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°16%
The average44°29°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average49°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.