Minority Report

London, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 40°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 73% against a group average of 89%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°91%
US model (GFS)51°40°73%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)51°39°90%
The average52°40°89%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 74%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°29°30%
US model (GFS)41°33°64%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°75%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°100%
The average41°33°74%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°34°1%
US model (GFS)42°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°2%
German model (ICON)43°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)40°27°12%
The average42°30°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)45°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°2%
German model (ICON)47°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°29°0%
The average45°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.