Minority Report

Longview, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gregg County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°1%
US model (GFS)77°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°49°0%
The average76°49°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°1%
US model (GFS)64°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°48°0%
German model (ICON)62°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°0%
The average65°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°43°23%
US model (GFS)62°42°3%
European model (ECMWF)60°44°16%
German model (ICON)59°38°9%
Canadian model (GEM)61°45°0%
The average60°42°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 44°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 81%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°79%
US model (GFS)56°45°65%
European model (ECMWF)50°45°97%
German model (ICON)49°44°86%
Canadian model (GEM)50°43°76%
The average52°44°81%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.