Minority Report

Lonoke, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lonoke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)69°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°46°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°0%
The average68°44°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°1%
US model (GFS)54°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°27°0%
The average53°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°16%
US model (GFS)59°40°15%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°28%
German model (ICON)58°38°29%
Canadian model (GEM)57°33°24%
The average56°37°22%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.