Minority Report

Lordsburg, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hidalgo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°2%
US model (GFS)70°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°41°0%
The average70°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service67°43°32%
US model (GFS)70°50°18%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°67%
German model (ICON)67°50°63%
Canadian model (GEM)69°47°88%
The average69°48°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 45°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 21%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°43°7%
US model (GFS)62°46°4%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°10%
German model (ICON)60°46°13%
Canadian model (GEM)63°40°71%
The average62°45°21%

Sunday, November 15

High 61°   Low 42°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°42°0%
US model (GFS)61°47°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°44°8%
German model (ICON)61°43°3%
Canadian model (GEM)62°32°4%
The average61°42°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.