Minority Report

Los Angeles, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Los Angeles County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 58°   Rain 23%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 23%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°59°56%
US model (GFS)79°58°16%
European model (ECMWF)79°60°0%
German model (ICON)77°59°8%
Canadian model (GEM)79°53°35%
The average79°58°23%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 58°   Rain 77%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 77%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°57°78%
US model (GFS)68°60°64%
European model (ECMWF)67°57°98%
German model (ICON)68°58°60%
Canadian model (GEM)64°57°85%
The average68°58°77%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 54°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 65%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°55°32%
US model (GFS)70°56°60%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°100%
German model (ICON)72°58°48%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°87%
The average69°54°65%

Sunday, November 15

High 70°   Low 55°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°55°29%
US model (GFS)72°64°20%
European model (ECMWF)70°56°5%
German model (ICON)71°56°1%
Canadian model (GEM)66°44°5%
The average70°55°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.