Minority Report

Los Lunas, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Valencia County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)67°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°41°0%
German model (ICON)65°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°26°0%
The average66°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 34°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°39°23%
US model (GFS)66°34°32%
European model (ECMWF)65°39°71%
German model (ICON)64°33°30%
Canadian model (GEM)64°24°19%
The average65°34°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°32°53%
US model (GFS)58°40°35%
European model (ECMWF)56°44°94%
German model (ICON)56°41°79%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°67%
The average57°37°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°0%
The average57°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.