Minority Report

Loudon, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Loudon County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 43°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 65%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°9%
US model (GFS)60°44°32%
European model (ECMWF)60°48°92%
German model (ICON)58°46°90%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°100%
The average59°43°65%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°13%
US model (GFS)47°35°9%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°43%
German model (ICON)48°40°13%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°22%
The average48°37°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°36°13%
German model (ICON)49°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°11%
The average49°32°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°30°1%
US model (GFS)53°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°35°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average52°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.