Louisville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 42° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 75 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 40° | 41% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 44° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 43° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 42° | 76% |
| The average | 56° | 42° | 57% |
High 47° Low 37° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 35° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 40° | 78% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 35% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 39° | 39% |
| The average | 47° | 37° | 44% |
High 49° Low 32° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 34° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 32° | 1% |
High 51° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.