Minority Report

Lovelock, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pershing County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°1%
US model (GFS)65°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°21°0%
The average64°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 32°   Rain 92%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°27°92%
US model (GFS)62°37°71%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°100%
German model (ICON)58°32°95%
Canadian model (GEM)58°24°100%
The average60°32°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 6%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°36°20%
German model (ICON)51°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°6%
The average52°30°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°30°64%
US model (GFS)53°43°14%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°12%
German model (ICON)54°30°39%
Canadian model (GEM)56°24°7%
The average55°33°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.