Lovingston, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nelson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 65° Low 44° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 45° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 65° | 45° | 49% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 44° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 45° | 14% |
| The average | 65° | 44° | 22% |
High 53° Low 36° Rain 3%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 35° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 39° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 36° | 3% |
High 50° Low 31° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 31° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 30° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 31° | 1% |
High 54° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.