Minority Report

Lovington, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lea County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)68°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°44°0%
German model (ICON)67°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°42°0%
The average68°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 61%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°49°75%
US model (GFS)68°42°46%
European model (ECMWF)67°43°86%
German model (ICON)66°44°45%
Canadian model (GEM)69°38°55%
The average68°43°61%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 49°   Rain 66%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 66%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°46°27%
US model (GFS)64°50°69%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°100%
German model (ICON)64°52°70%
Canadian model (GEM)62°47°62%
The average64°49°66%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 44°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°41°0%
US model (GFS)62°46°3%
European model (ECMWF)52°44°11%
German model (ICON)58°46°3%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°0%
The average58°44°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.