Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 43° Rain 90%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 43° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 43° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 45° | 90% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 42° | 86% |
| The average | 56° | 43° | 90% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 92%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 32° | 86% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 86% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 34° | 91% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 92% |
High 44° Low 32° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 33° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 16% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 10% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.