Minority Report

Lowville, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lewis County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—24°58%
US model (GFS)40°32°81%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°100%
German model (ICON)42°34°90%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°38%
The average41°32°73%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°24°19%
US model (GFS)36°31°21%
European model (ECMWF)38°31°38%
German model (ICON)37°30°45%
Canadian model (GEM)36°32°53%
The average37°30°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 72%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°51%
US model (GFS)37°32°50%
European model (ECMWF)38°32°94%
German model (ICON)37°31°65%
Canadian model (GEM)37°33°100%
The average38°31°72%

Sunday, November 15

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 39%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°36%
US model (GFS)35°32°43%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°50%
German model (ICON)40°34°24%
Canadian model (GEM)38°34°43%
The average39°32°39%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.