Minority Report

Lubbock, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lubbock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)73°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°41°0%
German model (ICON)70°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°39°0%
The average71°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°22%
US model (GFS)68°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)65°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°37°10%
The average65°42°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 47°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 71%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°47°64%
US model (GFS)64°45°51%
European model (ECMWF)55°48°96%
German model (ICON)59°48°73%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°72%
The average59°47°71%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 42°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 31%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°40°3%
US model (GFS)62°47°51%
European model (ECMWF)50°43°33%
German model (ICON)53°43°40%
Canadian model (GEM)51°37°29%
The average54°42°31%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.