Minority Report

Lufkin, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Angelina County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°54°0%
The average77°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°45°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°49°0%
The average70°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°45°24%
US model (GFS)67°44°8%
European model (ECMWF)64°48°22%
German model (ICON)61°39°13%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°0%
The average64°45°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 46°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 64% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°44°77%
US model (GFS)63°48°64%
European model (ECMWF)52°48°94%
German model (ICON)50°47°80%
Canadian model (GEM)60°46°84%
The average57°46°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.