Minority Report

Lumberton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Robeson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 50°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 30 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 13%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)75°51°15%
European model (ECMWF)74°54°30%
German model (ICON)75°49°15%
Canadian model (GEM)75°52°5%
The average75°50°13%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 42°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°36°9%
US model (GFS)59°45°13%
European model (ECMWF)60°46°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)61°44°0%
The average60°42°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°32°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°1%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average56°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average57°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.