Lunenburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lunenburg County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 68° Low 45° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 42° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 45° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 47° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 46° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 46° | 10% |
| The average | 68° | 45° | 31% |
High 55° Low 37° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 58° | 31° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 38° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 43° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 34° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 56° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 37° | 4% |
High 52° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 36° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 31° | 0% |
High 55° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 37° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.