Luray, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Page County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 63° Low 43° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 85 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 40° | 21% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 47° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 47° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 40° | 19% |
| The average | 63° | 43° | 47% |
High 50° Low 34° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 27° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 41° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 38° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 34° | 6% |
| The average | 50° | 34° | 6% |
High 48° Low 30° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 25° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 29° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 27° | 5% |
| The average | 48° | 30° | 2% |
High 51° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.