Lynchburg, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Moore County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 60° Low 40° Rain 27%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 42° | 11% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 44° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 60° | 42° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 43° | 57% |
| The average | 60° | 40° | 27% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 28° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 36° | 10% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 3% |
High 50° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 31° | 0% |
High 54° Low 31° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 28° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.