Minority Report

Lyndon, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Osage County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°29°0%
The average52°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°25°0%
US model (GFS)42°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°0%
The average46°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°2%
US model (GFS)48°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average49°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°9%
US model (GFS)53°38°8%
European model (ECMWF)51°32°2%
German model (ICON)53°32°11%
Canadian model (GEM)52°27°14%
The average52°32°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.