Lyons, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 37° Rain 89%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 63% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 37° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 40° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 37° | 89% |
High 40° Low 35° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 31° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 35° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 37° | 74% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 38° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 35° | 87% |
| The average | 40° | 35° | 55% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 87%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 33° | 76% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 74% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 36° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 38° | 89% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 35° | 95% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 87% |
High 42° Low 37° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 49% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 38° | 74% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 37° | 81% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 40° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 37° | 48% |
| The average | 42° | 37° | 60% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.