Machias, ME — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washington County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 29° Rain 8%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 30° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 30° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 29° | 8% |
High 42° Low 31° Rain 26%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 33° | 26% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 30° | 15% |
| The average | 42° | 31° | 26% |
High 43° Low 29° Rain 10%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 26° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 30° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 30° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 25° | 19% |
| The average | 43° | 29° | 10% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 12%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 27° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 30° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 30° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 31° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 31% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 12% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.