Madera, CA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madera County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 81° Low 49° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 54° | 16% |
| US model (GFS) | 82° | 48° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 50° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 82° | 49° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 81° | 44° | 2% |
| The average | 81° | 49° | 6% |
High 67° Low 51° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 68° | 48° | 94% |
| US model (GFS) | 70° | 52° | 93% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 52° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 52° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 49° | 100% |
| The average | 67° | 51° | 97% |
High 64° Low 46° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 45° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 48° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 47° | 29% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 46° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 43° | 5% |
| The average | 64° | 46° | 8% |
High 67° Low 46° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 68° | 50° | 75% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 51° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 45° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 46° | 51% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 40° | 6% |
| The average | 67° | 46° | 37% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.