Minority Report

Madill, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marshall County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 73°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°1%
US model (GFS)76°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°48°0%
German model (ICON)73°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°46°0%
The average73°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°41°1%
US model (GFS)62°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°0%
German model (ICON)61°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°44°0%
The average62°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 41°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°41°78%
US model (GFS)60°40°38%
European model (ECMWF)57°46°80%
German model (ICON)56°38°68%
Canadian model (GEM)57°42°35%
The average58°41°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 41°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°40°93%
US model (GFS)51°41°88%
European model (ECMWF)46°44°100%
German model (ICON)46°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°41°92%
The average48°41°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.