Minority Report

Madison, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)78°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°55°2%
German model (ICON)78°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°55°0%
The average78°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°38°0%
US model (GFS)66°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)65°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°45°0%
The average65°44°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°0%
US model (GFS)59°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)59°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°38°0%
The average58°37°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°41°0%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°40°0%
German model (ICON)63°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°34°0%
The average62°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.