Madison, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jefferson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 41° Rain 54%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 77 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 41° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 43° | 94% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 41° | 71% |
| The average | 55° | 41° | 54% |
High 45° Low 35° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 30° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 35° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 37° | 61% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 38° | 29% |
| The average | 45° | 35° | 36% |
High 48° Low 30° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 30° | 5% |
| The average | 48° | 30° | 2% |
High 50° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 32° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.