Madison, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 66° Low 42° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 82 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 66° | 41° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 49° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 44° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 38° | 19% |
| The average | 66° | 42° | 39% |
High 52° Low 35° Rain 6%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 31° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 33° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 42° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 34° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 35° | 6% |
| The average | 52° | 35° | 6% |
High 50° Low 32° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 30° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 30° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 31° | 5% |
| The average | 50° | 32° | 2% |
High 53° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 42° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 27° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.