Minority Report

Madisonville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hopkins County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 18%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°2%
US model (GFS)57°38°12%
European model (ECMWF)58°41°25%
German model (ICON)57°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°14%
The average58°37°18%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°28°16%
US model (GFS)42°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°0%
German model (ICON)45°30°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°34°0%
The average45°33°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°26°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°20°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.