Minority Report

Madisonville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 43°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 9% against a group average of 65%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°9%
US model (GFS)58°46°34%
European model (ECMWF)60°48°86%
German model (ICON)58°45°98%
Canadian model (GEM)58°44°100%
The average58°43°65%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 56 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 26%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°31°14%
US model (GFS)47°36°10%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°66%
German model (ICON)48°39°20%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°22%
The average47°37°26%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 11%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°39%
German model (ICON)49°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°32°11%
The average48°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°1%
US model (GFS)52°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.