Minority Report

Magnolia, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)75°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°53°0%
The average74°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°34°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°43°0%
German model (ICON)64°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°0%
The average64°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°37°0%
US model (GFS)62°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)62°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°0%
The average61°36°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 63°   Low 40°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°42°36%
US model (GFS)65°38°26%
European model (ECMWF)60°42°43%
German model (ICON)63°38°35%
Canadian model (GEM)62°40°8%
The average63°40°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.