Minority Report

Malad City, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oneida County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)60°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°33°0%
The average58°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°39°92%
US model (GFS)60°42°23%
European model (ECMWF)58°40°33%
German model (ICON)59°42°48%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°57%
The average59°40°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 92%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°92%
US model (GFS)47°36°89%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°89%
German model (ICON)48°36°96%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°96%
The average47°33°92%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°1%
US model (GFS)48°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°24°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.