Malvern, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hot Spring County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 70° Low 45° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 46° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 51° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 69° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 70° | 45° | 0% |
High 56° Low 36° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 36° | 0% |
High 54° Low 32° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 32° | 0% |
High 55° Low 37° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 34° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 38° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 39° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 35° | 52% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 40° | 44% |
| The average | 55° | 37° | 39% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.