Minority Report

Manassas Park, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Manassas Park city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 45°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 75 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 35%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°5%
US model (GFS)64°44°24%
German model (ICON)64°46°80%
Canadian model (GEM)67°47°32%
The average65°45°35%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°10%
US model (GFS)47°34°2%
German model (ICON)49°36°20%
Canadian model (GEM)50°36°29%
The average49°35°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°35°3%
US model (GFS)49°30°2%
German model (ICON)50°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)50°33°14%
The average50°33°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°40°0%
German model (ICON)53°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average52°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.