Minority Report

Manatí Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Manatí Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 90°   Low 72°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 100 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 48%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—74°0%
US model (GFS)90°74°100%
European model (ECMWF)88°71°83%
German model (ICON)92°72°45%
Canadian model (GEM)90°70°11%
The average90°72°48%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 76°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°74°10%
US model (GFS)89°75°0%
European model (ECMWF)89°78°6%
German model (ICON)92°79°3%
Canadian model (GEM)89°74°5%
The average90°76°5%

Saturday, November 14

High 90°   Low 76°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service92°73°40%
US model (GFS)89°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°77°56%
German model (ICON)93°80°13%
Canadian model (GEM)89°73°14%
The average90°76°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 89°   Low 74°   Rain 6%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service91°73°11%
US model (GFS)88°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)85°75°10%
German model (ICON)93°76°5%
Canadian model (GEM)88°71°0%
The average89°74°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.