Manchester, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clay County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 55° Low 42° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 62 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 38% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 44° | 91% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 43° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 44° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 55° | 42° | 86% |
High 44° Low 36° Rain 75%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 29° | 70% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 66% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 39° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 39° | 71% |
| The average | 44° | 36° | 75% |
High 45° Low 31° Rain 14%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 27° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 31° | 14% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 35° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 28° | 16% |
| The average | 45° | 31° | 14% |
High 50° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.