Minority Report

Manchester, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Coffee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 40%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)60°42°26%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°67%
German model (ICON)58°41°30%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°76%
The average59°39°40%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°1%
US model (GFS)42°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°2%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°6%
The average45°33°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°24°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°6%
The average49°29°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°27°1%
US model (GFS)53°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°21°0%
The average53°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.