Minority Report

Mandan, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Morton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)38°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°0%
German model (ICON)39°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°28°0%
The average39°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°0%
US model (GFS)36°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°29°0%
German model (ICON)42°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average41°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°0%
The average47°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average55°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.