Minority Report

Mangum, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)76°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°45°0%
German model (ICON)74°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°44°0%
The average75°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 61°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°0%
US model (GFS)61°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°45°0%
German model (ICON)60°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°0%
The average61°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 42°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°42°96%
US model (GFS)58°38°89%
European model (ECMWF)52°45°98%
German model (ICON)55°44°92%
Canadian model (GEM)52°41°100%
The average55°42°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 41°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 91%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°38°70%
US model (GFS)50°43°93%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°97%
German model (ICON)45°43°95%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°100%
The average47°41°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.