Manila, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Daggett County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 58° Low 28° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 58° | 28° | 0% |
High 57° Low 30° Rain 12%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 33° | 52% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 31° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 30° | 12% |
High 48° Low 32° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 28° | 56% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 66% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 37° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 27° | 62% |
| The average | 48° | 32° | 56% |
High 48° Low 28° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 27° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 28° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.