Minority Report

Manitowoc, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Manitowoc County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 35°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°26%
US model (GFS)41°34°20%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°0%
German model (ICON)42°36°25%
Canadian model (GEM)42°37°67%
The average42°35°28%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 13%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°31°27%
US model (GFS)39°33°15%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°0%
German model (ICON)42°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)40°36°19%
The average41°33°13%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°2%
US model (GFS)42°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°0%
German model (ICON)45°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°28°0%
The average43°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°25°0%
The average45°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.