Minority Report

Mankato, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Jewell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)50°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°35°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°0%
The average51°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°0%
US model (GFS)41°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)46°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average45°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 7%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°36°14%
US model (GFS)47°28°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°3%
German model (ICON)48°30°2%
Canadian model (GEM)47°26°11%
The average47°30°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 34°   Rain 17%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 17%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°16%
US model (GFS)47°38°12%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°12%
German model (ICON)51°38°16%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°29%
The average48°34°17%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.