Minority Report

Manning, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dunn County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)40°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)41°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°31°0%
The average42°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)36°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°31°0%
German model (ICON)43°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°28°0%
The average43°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°29°0%
US model (GFS)51°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°32°0%
The average50°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°32°0%
US model (GFS)59°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°0%
The average57°35°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.