Minority Report

Mansfield, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of De Soto Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)77°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°54°0%
German model (ICON)75°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°56°0%
The average76°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°40°1%
US model (GFS)63°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°48°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°50°0%
The average64°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 41°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°42°10%
US model (GFS)63°41°1%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°6%
German model (ICON)59°37°1%
Canadian model (GEM)60°44°0%
The average60°41°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 78%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°42°77%
US model (GFS)62°44°64%
European model (ECMWF)50°46°93%
German model (ICON)47°43°81%
Canadian model (GEM)56°44°76%
The average55°44°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.