Minority Report

Manti, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sanpete County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)60°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°32°0%
German model (ICON)65°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°26°0%
The average62°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 36°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 50%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°98%
US model (GFS)61°37°32%
European model (ECMWF)59°31°39%
German model (ICON)58°47°35%
Canadian model (GEM)60°27°48%
The average59°36°50%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 99%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°29°98%
US model (GFS)44°34°98%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°100%
German model (ICON)48°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°100%
The average44°34°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°2%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°0%
The average51°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.