Minority Report

Mantorville, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dodge County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 27°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)38°29°18%
German model (ICON)39°30°43%
Canadian model (GEM)39°25°14%
The average38°27°15%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°20°0%
US model (GFS)35°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°26°0%
German model (ICON)37°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°20°0%
The average37°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°24°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°25°0%
German model (ICON)42°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°17°0%
The average42°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°27°0%
German model (ICON)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°17°0%
The average45°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.