Minority Report

Many, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sabine Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°0%
US model (GFS)78°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°54°0%
German model (ICON)76°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°56°0%
The average76°51°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°39°1%
US model (GFS)66°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°0%
German model (ICON)64°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°52°0%
The average67°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°38°9%
US model (GFS)64°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°6%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°46°0%
The average62°41°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 44°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 16°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 78%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°39°81%
US model (GFS)64°45°68%
European model (ECMWF)50°44°96%
German model (ICON)48°44°76%
Canadian model (GEM)59°47°71%
The average57°44°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.